Not just any
New York Times blogger, mind you, but one from right here in America's Glans™.
Yes,
Florida International University professor Stanley Fish seems to think that
Huggy Bear not only would beat Barack Obama in the general election,
he might also vote for Obama as well, were he voting in Texas or Ohio tomorrow, on the grounds that Obama would be easier to beat in the general than Clinton:
If it is McCain vs. Obama in the general election, look for something to happen that was unthinkable only a short time ago. The Iraq War will become a Republican plus.
The reason is that McCain’s position on the war, as on so many other issues, looks in (at least) two directions.
On the one hand, he voted to authorize the invasion. On the other, he consistently disagreed with the administration’s prosecution of the war in general and with the judgment of defense Secretary Rumsfeld in particular. And on the third hand, he advocated for a course of action that was at last implemented in the so-called “surge,” and with some success.
So, at any moment, he would be able to present himself as a strong patriot, and at another moment as a critic of the hard-line hawks, and at still another as a hard-line hawk with more experience and military knowledge than the others. And, depending on which position he was occupying, he could deny that he was an uncritical supporter of the war or that he was inattentive to the needs of the troops, or that he had nothing positive to offer.
[...]
With Obama as his opponent, McCain has the advantage every which way. He continues to get mileage out of the straight-talk express, and at the same time he also has the political flexibility that comes along with having taken a few detours along the way, and talked out of several sides of his mouth.
[...]
Still, I would bet that if McCain were pulling a lever in the Democratic primaries in Texas and Ohio, his vote would go into the Obama column.
Oh, I wish it weren't so easy to dissect the opinion of "the Davidson-Kahn Distinguished University Professor and a professor of law at Florida International University, in Miami, and dean emeritus of the College of Liberal Arts and Sciences at the University of Illinois at Chicago," but it is. Perhaps that's because I didn't even realize FIU
had a
law school (fully accredited just two years ago), but that's beside the point.
Okay, let's see where we start ...
1. The war can never be a Republican positive.This one's easy. Around 70% of Americans believe we ought to leave Iraq and end this unnecessary war, and Huggy's vote to authorize the war, like that (I believe) of Hillary Clinton, can never be spun positively ... unless, like John Edwards, Huggy repudiates his vote, and you know that will never happen. Moreover, the "100 more years" quote by Huggy will dog him right through the election. No one, save perhaps the most laughably hawkish wingnuts (and, of course, Huggy himself) wants another 100 years in Iraq, and most want to be out
now. I can give you links if you want, but I think you can Google all of this as easily as I can.
2. The "surge" is not a success.This one's problematic because, of course, all the corporate-controlled media want to say that the "surge" has been successful, and naturally Huggy is riding that wave. But how do you define "success?" There's as much, if not more, sectarian violence as ever, suicide bombers still are murdering dozens at a time, and coalition lives still are being lost at
almost precisely the same rate they have for the last
three years.
The "successful surge" is a myth, and one presumes the American people will get that, despite corporate media collusion, by November.
3. Huggy's connection to Drunky McStagger is, or should be, his Achilles' heel.I'm not sure what the hell Fish means by this little observation:
And Obama will not even be able to saddle McCain with the legacy of an unpopular administration, given that more often than not he has been viewed as a Bush opponent, except on the war, and on that issue his loyalty to the president’s policy will do him harm only with those hard-core liberals who would never vote for a Republican anyway.
Of course Huggy bears the legacy of an unpopular administration, and it goes
far beyond the "R" after his name. I don't know where Fish thinks that "more often than not [Huggy] has been viewed as a Bush opponent." Would your opponent let you give him a sloppy man-loving hug
like this? Or share a birthday cake with you
at the very moment thousands die or suffer catastrophic loss due to his negligence,
like this?
Come on, Stanley. You're a smart guy. Wanna take another crack at this, to see if you can get it right?
Labels: Barack Obama, John McCain, New York Times, Stanley Fish