Today's forecast: mostly Obama, with only a slight chance of McCain

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Good news today from the "strictly nonpartisan" (based on full disclosure -- the author describes himself as a libertarian who leans Democratic) Electoral Vote Predictor, which uses the most recent polling data from every state to gauge the direction of the presidential election (and the congressional races, too):

The map today is possibly close to a best-case scenario for John McCain. Here he is shown to be winning Florida, Ohio, Missouri and Nevada with Virginia tied. Suppose McCain also wins Virginia, meaning he wins the five most swinging states. Obama still gets 284 electoral votes and wins the election. Indiana is now shown with an Obama edge, but that will probably turn red eventually, leaving Obama with 273 electoral votes--still enough. Iowa and New Mexico look good for Obama. To win, McCain is either going to have to win one of the Kerry states (hard) or hang onto Colorado, which Obama has been leading all year. Thus Colorado could become the real battleground in 2008, like Ohio in 2004 and Florida in 2000.

All things considered, I'll take it. Perhaps the Democrats setting up shop in Denver for their convention was more prescient than one might think ...